Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultHalcones Negros to win ✓58% · @1.67
Double chanceHalcones Negros or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Ciervos vs Halcones Negros: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Liga Premier Serie A brings Ciervos against Halcones Negros. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Ciervos are 9th, upper half, on 5 points after 11 matches; Halcones Negros are 5th (upper half) with 17. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ciervos, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Calor de San Pedro, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Halcones Negros, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Calor de San Pedro, at home. 2.4 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Halcones Negros, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.0 for Ciervos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ciervos 1.2 xG, Halcones Negros 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ciervos 20%, draw 22%, Halcones Negros 58%.
Lower-risk option: Halcones Negros or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Halcones Negros or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ciervos 1–2 Halcones Negros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ciervos20%fair 5.01 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.75
Halcones Negros58%fair 1.73 · @1.67
3.40Expected goals
1.23Ciervos xG
2.17Halcones Negros xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ciervos 1.2 – 2.2 Halcones Negros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Halcones Negros to win✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Double chance
Halcones Negros or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.62
Draw no bet
Halcones Negros (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Ciervos +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
First team to score
Halcones Negros to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Halcones Negros ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Halcones Negros / FT Halcones Negros✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Ciervos – last 6
LLLLLL
20 Sep
@ Calor de San Pedro
0–4
L
12 Sep
vs Artesanos Metepec
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Guerreros del Pacifico
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Dragones de Oaxaca
0–2
L
31 Mar
@ FC Santiago
0–5
L
22 Feb
@ Calor de San Pedro
1–3
L
0.2Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Halcones Negros – last 5
WLWLD
27 Sep
vs Calor de San Pedro
7–0
W
19 Sep
@ Artesanos Metepec
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Guerreros del Pacifico
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Dragones de Oaxaca
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Delfines Coatzacoalcos
0–0
D
2.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ciervos and Halcones Negros.
What is the prediction for Ciervos vs Halcones Negros?
Our pick is Halcones Negros or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ciervos vs Halcones Negros?
On our numbers Ciervos have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Halcones Negros 58%.
How many goals will there be in Ciervos vs Halcones Negros?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciervos vs Halcones Negros?
Our predicted score is Ciervos 1–2 Halcones Negros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Ciervos vs Halcones Negros?
Ciervos vs Halcones Negros (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
