Value bet: Halcones Negros to win @ 2.45 – our chance 43% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHalcones Negros to win ✗43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.12
Halcones Negros vs Acambaro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Liga Premier Serie A brings Halcones Negros against Acambaro. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Halcones Negros are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Acambaro are 3rd (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
Halcones Negros, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Real Refineros, away. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Acambaro, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Ciervos, at home. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Halcones Negros 2.2 xG, Acambaro 1.9 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Halcones Negros 43%, draw 23%, Acambaro 34%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Halcones Negros to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Halcones Negros 2–1 Acambaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Halcones Negros43%fair 2.30 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Acambaro34%fair 2.98 · @2.62
4.07Expected goals
2.16Halcones Negros xG
1.91Acambaro xG
68%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
2–27%
1–17%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Halcones Negros 2.2 – 1.9 Acambaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Halcones Negros to win✗
43%
2.30
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.47
1.50
Draw no bet
Halcones Negros (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Acambaro +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
62%
1.63
–
First team to score
Halcones Negros to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Halcones Negros ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Halcones Negros / FT Halcones Negros✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.12
–
Recent results
Halcones Negros – last 6
WWWLWL
10 Oct
@ Real Refineros
3–2
W
3 Oct
@ Ciervos
5–0
W
27 Sep
vs Calor de San Pedro
7–0
W
19 Sep
@ Artesanos Metepec
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Guerreros del Pacifico
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Dragones de Oaxaca
1–2
L
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Acambaro – last 6
WLWDWW
11 Oct
vs Ciervos
5–2
W
27 Sep
vs Artesanos Metepec
2–3
L
19 Sep
@ Guerreros del Pacifico
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Dragones de Oaxaca
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Delfines Coatzacoalcos
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Cañoneros Marina
8–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Halcones Negros and Acambaro.
What is the prediction for Halcones Negros vs Acambaro?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Halcones Negros vs Acambaro?
On our numbers Halcones Negros have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Acambaro 34%.
How many goals will there be in Halcones Negros vs Acambaro?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Halcones Negros vs Acambaro?
Our predicted score is Halcones Negros 2–1 Acambaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Halcones Negros vs Acambaro?
Halcones Negros vs Acambaro (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
