Dragones de Oaxaca 56%Draw 25%Mineros de Fresnillo 19%Expected goals 1.91 – 1.05
81%
Betarazi pick
Dragones de Oaxaca or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Dragones de Oaxaca to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDragones de Oaxaca to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceDragones de Oaxaca or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.68
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Dragones de Oaxaca v Mineros de Fresnillo in the Liga Premier Serie A. In the table, Dragones de Oaxaca are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 11 matches; Mineros de Fresnillo are 4th (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dragones de Oaxaca, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Héroes de Zaci, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mineros de Fresnillo, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Calor de San Pedro, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Dragones de Oaxaca, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Mineros de Fresnillo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dragones de Oaxaca 1.9 xG, Mineros de Fresnillo 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dragones de Oaxaca 56%, draw 25%, Mineros de Fresnillo 19%.
Lower-risk option: Dragones de Oaxaca or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Dragones de Oaxaca to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dragones de Oaxaca or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dragones de Oaxaca 1–1 Mineros de Fresnillo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dragones de Oaxaca56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.40
Mineros de Fresnillo19%fair 5.25 · @3.40
2.96Expected goals
1.91Dragones de Oaxaca xG
1.05Mineros de Fresnillo xG
48%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Dragones de Oaxaca 1.9 – 1.1 Mineros de Fresnillo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dragones de Oaxaca to win✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Dragones de Oaxaca or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Dragones de Oaxaca (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Mineros de Fresnillo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Dragones de Oaxaca to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Dragones de Oaxaca ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dragones de Oaxaca / FT Dragones de Oaxaca✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
16.68
–
Recent results
Dragones de Oaxaca – last 6
WDWWDW
25 Oct
vs Héroes de Zaci
6–0
W
17 Oct
@ Artesanos Metepec
0–0
D
13 Oct
vs Guerreros del Pacifico
5–1
W
4 Oct
vs Real Refineros
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Delfines Coatzacoalcos
3–3
D
20 Sep
vs Cañoneros Marina
3–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Mineros de Fresnillo – last 6
WDWWLL
25 Oct
vs Calor de San Pedro
4–1
W
17 Oct
vs Guerreros
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Acatlan
4–2
W
3 Oct
vs Atlético Saltillo
3–0
W
27 Sep
@ Vaqueros Reynosa
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Héroes de Zaci
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dragones de Oaxaca and Mineros de Fresnillo.
What is the prediction for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo?
Our pick is Dragones de Oaxaca or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo?
On our numbers Dragones de Oaxaca have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mineros de Fresnillo 19%.
How many goals will there be in Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo?
Our predicted score is Dragones de Oaxaca 1–1 Mineros de Fresnillo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo?
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Fresnillo (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
