Real Apodaca 15%Draw 19%Dragones de Oaxaca 67%Expected goals 0.98 – 2.30
67%
Betarazi pick
Dragones de Oaxaca to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultDragones de Oaxaca to win ✗67% · @1.33
Double chanceDragones de Oaxaca or draw ✗85% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dragones de Oaxaca travel to face Real Apodaca on Sunday 8 November in the Liga Premier Serie A – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Real Apodaca are 9th, upper half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Dragones de Oaxaca are 1st (leading the league) with 25. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Apodaca, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Halcones Negros, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Dragones de Oaxaca, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mineros de Fresnillo, at home. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Dragones de Oaxaca, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.2 for Real Apodaca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Apodaca 1.0 xG, Dragones de Oaxaca 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Apodaca 15%, draw 19%, Dragones de Oaxaca 67%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.69.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dragones de Oaxaca to win (67%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Apodaca 0–2 Dragones de Oaxaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Apodaca15%fair 6.84 · @7.70
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.40
Dragones de Oaxaca67%fair 1.50 · @1.33
3.29Expected goals
0.98Real Apodaca xG
2.30Dragones de Oaxaca xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Real Apodaca 1.0 – 2.3 Dragones de Oaxaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dragones de Oaxaca to win✗
67%
1.50
1.33
Double chance
Dragones de Oaxaca or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.69
Draw no bet
Dragones de Oaxaca (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Dragones de Oaxaca -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
First team to score
Dragones de Oaxaca to score first✗
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Dragones de Oaxaca ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dragones de Oaxaca / FT Dragones de Oaxaca✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Real Apodaca – last 6
LDLLLL
3 Nov
@ Halcones Negros
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Guerreros del Pacifico
3–3
D
17 Oct
@ FC Santiago
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Correcaminos UAT II
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Vaqueros Reynosa
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dragones de Oaxaca – last 6
WWDWWD
1 Nov
vs Mineros de Fresnillo
2–0
W
25 Oct
vs Héroes de Zaci
6–0
W
17 Oct
@ Artesanos Metepec
0–0
D
13 Oct
vs Guerreros del Pacifico
5–1
W
4 Oct
vs Real Refineros
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Delfines Coatzacoalcos
3–3
D
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Apodaca and Dragones de Oaxaca.
What is the prediction for Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
Our pick is Dragones de Oaxaca to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
On our numbers Real Apodaca have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dragones de Oaxaca 67%.
How many goals will there be in Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
Our predicted score is Real Apodaca 0–2 Dragones de Oaxaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca?
Real Apodaca vs Dragones de Oaxaca (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
