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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Osogovo v Belasica: numbers & prediction

Cup · Macedonia

Osogovo

LDLLW
1–3
FT

Belasica

DDWWW
Osogovo 16%Draw 20%Belasica 64% Expected goals 0.78 – 1.89
84%
Betarazi pick

Belasica or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Belasica to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBelasica to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceBelasica or draw ✓84% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.67

Osogovo vs Belasica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 9 September the Cup brings Osogovo against Belasica. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Osogovo, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Detonit Plachkovica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Belasica, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kozuv Gevgelija, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Belasica, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Osogovo.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Belasica 1–0 Osogovo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Osogovo 0.8 xG, Belasica 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Osogovo 16%, draw 20%, Belasica 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Belasica or draw (84%) at 1.28.
  • Price worth noting: Belasica to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Belasica or draw (84%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Osogovo 0–1 Belasica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Osogovo16%fair 6.41 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.40
Belasica64%fair 1.55 · @1.70
2.67Expected goals
0.78Osogovo xG
1.89Belasica xG
44%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%

From our goals model: Osogovo 0.8 – 1.9 Belasica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelasica to win ✓64%1.551.70 ▲
Double chanceBelasica or draw ✓84%1.191.28 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.79–
Draw no betBelasica (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapBelasica -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.001.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreBelasica to score first ✗66%1.52–
Half-time resultBelasica ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Belasica / FT Belasica ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.67–

Recent results

Osogovo – last 6

LDLLWW
5 Sep@ Detonit Plachkovica1–2L
29 Augvs Novaci0–0D
22 Aug@ Kamjani1–2L
15 Aug@ Belasica0–1L
28 Marvs Sloga Vinica3–0W
3 Marvs Ohrid1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Belasica – last 6

DDWWWL
5 Sep@ Kozuv Gevgelija2–2D
30 Augvs Detonit Plachkovica1–1D
22 Aug@ Novaci1–0W
15 Augvs Osogovo1–0W
9 Augvs FK Rabotnicki1–0W
1 Augvs Detonit Plachkovica0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026Belasica v Osogovo1–0
Osogovo vs Belasica head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Novaci1 Ohrid0 112%6.00X21%5.00267%1.33 0.9–2.2xG 2Ohrid to win 67%@1.33 ✗
FT Teteks1 Bregalnica Štip4 110%19.00X18%7.50272%1.09 1.0–2.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Osogovo vs Belasica?

Our pick is Belasica or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Osogovo vs Belasica?

On our numbers Osogovo have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Belasica 64%.

How many goals will there be in Osogovo vs Belasica?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Osogovo vs Belasica?

Our predicted score is Osogovo 0–1 Belasica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Osogovo vs Belasica?

Osogovo vs Belasica (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.