Value bet: 2 de Mayo to win @ 2.22 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
Result2 de Mayo to win ✗48% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Luqueno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Tuesday 1 September: 2 de Mayo v Sportivo Luqueno in the Division Profesional Clausura, played at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti. In the table, 2 de Mayo are 6th, upper half, on 30 points after 19 matches; Sportivo Luqueno are 8th (lower half) with 22.
Current form
2 de Mayo, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sportivo Trinidense, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sportivo Luqueno, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rubio NU, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours 2 de Mayo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Sportivo Luqueno.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Sportivo Luqueno 0–2 2 de Mayo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 2 de Mayo 1.4 xG, Sportivo Luqueno 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 2 de Mayo 48%, draw 23%, Sportivo Luqueno 29%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: 2 de Mayo to win @2.22 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: 2 de Mayo 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
2 de Mayo48%fair 2.07 · @2.22
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.15
Sportivo Luqueno29%fair 3.48 · @3.10
2.33Expected goals
1.372 de Mayo xG
0.97Sportivo Luqueno xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: 2 de Mayo 1.4 – 1.0 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Luqueno?
On our numbers 2 de Mayo have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sportivo Luqueno 29%.
How many goals will there be in 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Luqueno?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our predicted score is 2 de Mayo 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Luqueno?
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
