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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Club Guarani v Deportivo Recoleta: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio Rogelio Livieres
2–0
FT
Club Guarani 55%Draw 23%Deportivo Recoleta 22% Expected goals 1.81 – 1.07
78%
Betarazi pick

Club Guarani or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Club Guarani to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultClub Guarani to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceClub Guarani or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Recoleta travel to face Club Guarani on Monday 7 September in the Division Profesional Clausura, with Estadio Rogelio Livieres the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Club Guarani are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 19 matches; Deportivo Recoleta are 11th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Club Guarani, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olimpia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cerro Porteno, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Club Guarani 3–1 Deportivo Recoleta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Guarani 1.8 xG, Deportivo Recoleta 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Club Guarani 55%, draw 23%, Deportivo Recoleta 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Club Guarani or draw (78%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Club Guarani to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Club Guarani or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Guarani 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Guarani55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Deportivo Recoleta22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
2.88Expected goals
1.81Club Guarani xG
1.07Deportivo Recoleta xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
3–16%

From our goals model: Club Guarani 1.8 – 1.1 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultClub Guarani to win ✓55%1.811.95 ▲
Double chanceClub Guarani or draw ✓78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.75
Draw no betClub Guarani (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapDeportivo Recoleta +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreClub Guarani to score first ✓59%1.68–
Half-time resultClub Guarani ahead at half-time ✓40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Club Guarani / FT Club Guarani ✓34%2.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Club Guarani – last 6

DDDLLD
2 Sep@ Olimpia1–1D
30 Augvs Sportivo Ameliano1–1D
25 Aug@ 2 de Mayo0–0D
15 Augvs Rubio NU2–3L
12 Aug@ Sportivo Iteno1–2L
9 Aug@ Nacional Asuncion0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Recoleta – last 6

LLWLLL
3 Sepvs Cerro Porteno1–3L
29 Augvs Olimpia1–2L
26 Aug@ Deportivo Santani2–0W
22 Aug@ Sportivo Ameliano1–3L
18 Augvs Boca Juniors0–4L
14 Augvs 2 de Mayo1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Mar 2026Club Guarani v Deportivo Recoleta3–1
Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Our pick is Club Guarani or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?

On our numbers Club Guarani have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Recoleta 22%.

How many goals will there be in Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Our predicted score is Club Guarani 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Club Guarani vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rogelio Livieres.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.