Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Ameliano in the Division Profesional Clausura, played at Estadio Tigo La Huerta. In the table, Libertad Asuncion are 3rd, among the top four, on 33 points after 19 matches; Sportivo Ameliano are 9th (lower half) with 19. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over 2 de Mayo, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Club Sp. San Lorenzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended Sportivo Ameliano 2–0 Libertad Asuncion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.8 xG, Sportivo Ameliano 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 60%, draw 25%, Sportivo Ameliano 15%.
Lower-risk option: Libertad Asuncion or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Libertad Asuncion or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad Asuncion60%fair 1.68 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.40
Sportivo Ameliano15%fair 6.58 · @4.20
2.60Expected goals
1.79Libertad Asuncion xG
0.81Sportivo Ameliano xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.8 – 0.8 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sportivo Ameliano 15%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
