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Nacional Asuncion v 2 de Mayo: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio Arsenio Erico
3–0
FT
Nacional Asuncion 62%Draw 22%2 de Mayo 16% Expected goals 1.48 – 0.57
62%
Betarazi pick

Nacional Asuncion to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.24

Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nacional Asuncion welcome 2 de Mayo to Estadio Arsenio Erico for a Division Profesional Clausura fixture on Friday 18 September (22:30 WAT). In the table, Nacional Asuncion are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 19 matches; 2 de Mayo are 6th (upper half) with 30. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Nacional Asuncion, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rubio NU, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

2 de Mayo, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Libertad Asuncion, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nacional Asuncion, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for 2 de Mayo.

Head to head

When they last met (31 Mar 2026) it ended 2 de Mayo 1–1 Nacional Asuncion.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nacional Asuncion 1.5 xG, 2 de Mayo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional Asuncion 62%, draw 22%, 2 de Mayo 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Nacional Asuncion or draw (84%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nacional Asuncion to win (62%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional Asuncion 1–0 2 de Mayo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nacional Asuncion62%fair 1.61 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.10
2 de Mayo16%fair 6.10 · @4.75
2.05Expected goals
1.48Nacional Asuncion xG
0.572 de Mayo xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%

From our goals model: Nacional Asuncion 1.5 – 0.6 2 de Mayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNacional Asuncion to win ✓62%1.611.80 ▲
Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw ✓84%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%2.001.65
Draw no betNacional Asuncion (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicap2 de Mayo +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreNacional Asuncion to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion ✓36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19%5.24–

Recent results

Nacional Asuncion – last 6

WLWWWW
13 Sep@ Rubio NU1–0W
7 Sep@ Cerro Porteno0–1L
2 Sepvs Libertad Asuncion3–0W
28 Aug@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo3–0W
24 Augvs Sportivo Luqueno2–0W
18 Aug@ Benjamín Aceval2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

2 de Mayo – last 6

LWDWDW
11 Sepvs Libertad Asuncion0–2L
5 Sep@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–1W
1 Sepvs Sportivo Luqueno2–2D
29 Aug@ Sportivo Trinidense1–0W
25 Augvs Club Guarani0–0D
20 Aug@ Humaitá4–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Mar 20262 de Mayo v Nacional Asuncion1–1
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?

Our pick is Nacional Asuncion to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?

On our numbers Nacional Asuncion have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and 2 de Mayo 16%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?

Our predicted score is Nacional Asuncion 1–0 2 de Mayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo?

Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.