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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sportivo Luqueno v Deportivo Recoleta: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio Feliciano Cáceres
Sportivo Luqueno 47%Draw 22%Deportivo Recoleta 32% Expected goals 1.85 – 1.50
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Luqueno to win ✓47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10

Sportivo Luqueno vs Deportivo Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sportivo Luqueno welcome Deportivo Recoleta to Estadio Feliciano Cáceres for a Division Profesional Clausura fixture on Sunday 20 September (22:30 WAT). In the table, Sportivo Luqueno are 8th, lower half, on 22 points after 19 matches; Deportivo Recoleta are 11th (in the drop zone) with 16.

Current form

Sportivo Luqueno, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Olimpia, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sportivo Trinidense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sportivo Luqueno, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Recoleta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Luqueno 1.9 xG, Deportivo Recoleta 1.5 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Luqueno 47%, draw 22%, Deportivo Recoleta 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Luqueno47%fair 2.15 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Deportivo Recoleta32%fair 3.15 · @3.00
3.35Expected goals
1.85Sportivo Luqueno xG
1.50Deportivo Recoleta xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%

From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 1.9 – 1.5 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSportivo Luqueno to win ✓47%2.152.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.65
Draw no betSportivo Luqueno (draw no bet) ✓59%1.68–
Asian handicapDeportivo Recoleta +1 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
First team to scoreSportivo Luqueno to score first ✓53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.71–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sportivo Luqueno / FT Sportivo Luqueno ✗28%3.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.10–

Recent results

Sportivo Luqueno – last 6

LLDWLW
13 Sep@ Olimpia0–3L
6 Sepvs Sportivo Ameliano1–2L
1 Sep@ 2 de Mayo2–2D
28 Augvs Rubio NU2–1W
24 Aug@ Nacional Asuncion0–2L
19 Aug@ Paraguari AC2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Deportivo Recoleta – last 6

LLLLWL
12 Sepvs Sportivo Trinidense1–3L
7 Sep@ Club Guarani0–2L
3 Sepvs Cerro Porteno1–3L
29 Augvs Olimpia1–2L
26 Aug@ Deportivo Santani2–0W
22 Aug@ Sportivo Ameliano1–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Luqueno and Deportivo Recoleta.

Sportivo Luqueno vs Deportivo Recoleta head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs Deportivo Recoleta?

On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportivo Recoleta 32%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs Deportivo Recoleta?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Luqueno vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Sportivo Luqueno vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Feliciano Cáceres.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.