Club Sp. San Lorenzo 30%Draw 23%Deportivo Recoleta 47%Expected goals 1.19 – 1.58
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 2.38 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Recoleta to win ✗47% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 28 September the Division Profesional Clausura brings Club Sp. San Lorenzo against Deportivo Recoleta at Estadio Gunther Vogel. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 12th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 19 matches; Deportivo Recoleta are 11th (in the drop zone) with 16.
Current form
Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over 4 de Mayo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Guairena FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0 wins, Deportivo Recoleta 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1.2 xG, Deportivo Recoleta 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Sp. San Lorenzo 30%, draw 23%, Deportivo Recoleta 47%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Recoleta to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Sp. San Lorenzo30%fair 3.37 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Deportivo Recoleta47%fair 2.12 · @2.38
2.77Expected goals
1.19Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.58Deportivo Recoleta xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1.2 – 1.6 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Recoleta 47%.
How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
