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Sportivo Trinidense v Cerro Porteno: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio Martin Torres
Sportivo Trinidense 35%Draw 23%Cerro Porteno 42% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.25
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerro Porteno to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.23

Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sportivo Trinidense welcome Cerro Porteno to Estadio Martin Torres for a Division Profesional Clausura fixture on Saturday 26 September (23:00 WAT). In the table, Sportivo Trinidense are 2nd, among the top four, on 34 points after 19 matches; Cerro Porteno are 7th (lower half) with 28.

Current form

Sportivo Trinidense, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Guarani, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Cerro Porteno, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rubio NU, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Cerro Porteno, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Sportivo Trinidense.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Jul 2026) it ended Cerro Porteno 1–2 Sportivo Trinidense. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sportivo Trinidense 1 win, Cerro Porteno 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Trinidense 1.1 xG, Cerro Porteno 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Trinidense 35%, draw 23%, Cerro Porteno 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Cerro Porteno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Trinidense35%fair 2.86 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Cerro Porteno42%fair 2.40 · @2.25
2.36Expected goals
1.11Sportivo Trinidense xG
1.25Cerro Porteno xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Sportivo Trinidense 1.1 – 1.2 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerro Porteno to win ✗42%2.402.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.902.00 ▲
Draw no betCerro Porteno (draw no bet) ✗54%1.84–
Asian handicapSportivo Trinidense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
First team to scoreCerro Porteno to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno ✗23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.23–

Recent results

Sportivo Trinidense – last 6

LWLWLL
18 Sepvs Club Guarani0–1L
12 Sep@ Deportivo Recoleta3–1W
6 Sepvs Olimpia1–2L
2 Sep@ Sportivo Ameliano3–0W
29 Augvs 2 de Mayo0–1L
25 Aug@ SOL DE America1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cerro Porteno – last 6

WDWWDW
19 Sepvs Rubio NU1–0W
12 Sep@ Club Guarani1–1D
7 Sepvs Nacional Asuncion1–0W
3 Sep@ Deportivo Recoleta3–1W
30 Augvs Libertad Asuncion1–1D
27 Aug@ Resistencia1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Jul 2026Cerro Porteno v Sportivo Trinidense1–2
15 Mar 2026Cerro Porteno v Sportivo Trinidense2–1
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

On our numbers Sportivo Trinidense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cerro Porteno 42%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno?

Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martin Torres.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.