Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Olimpia to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOlimpia to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.61
Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:15 WAT, Tuesday 6 October: Olimpia v Nacional Asuncion in the Division Profesional Clausura, played at Estadio Defensores del Chaco. In the table, Olimpia are 1st, leading the league, on 42 points after 19 matches; Nacional Asuncion are 4th (among the top four) with 32.
Current form
Olimpia, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Luqueno, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nacional Asuncion, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Independiente F.b.c., away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Olimpia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Nacional Asuncion.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Jul 2026) it ended Nacional Asuncion 2–0 Olimpia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olimpia 1.6 xG, Nacional Asuncion 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpia 58%, draw 22%, Nacional Asuncion 20%.
Lower-risk option: Olimpia or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Olimpia to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Olimpia or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpia 1–0 Nacional Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olimpia58%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Nacional Asuncion20%fair 4.94 · @3.80
2.33Expected goals
1.55Olimpia xG
0.78Nacional Asuncion xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Olimpia 1.6 – 0.8 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Olimpia or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nacional Asuncion 20%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–0 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion?
Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
