Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.11
Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Libertad Asuncion travel to face Deportivo Recoleta on Monday 5 October in the Division Profesional Clausura, with Estadio Roque F. Batelhana the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Recoleta are 11th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 19 matches; Libertad Asuncion are 3rd (among the top four) with 33. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Club Sp. San Lorenzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Olimpia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Libertad Asuncion, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Recoleta.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Jul 2026) it ended Libertad Asuncion 4–1 Deportivo Recoleta. The last 2 head-to-heads: Deportivo Recoleta 0 wins, Libertad Asuncion 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Recoleta 1.0 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Recoleta 25%, draw 15%, Libertad Asuncion 60%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Libertad Asuncion to win (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Recoleta 0–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Recoleta25%fair 4.07 · @3.60
Draw15%fair 6.58 · @3.80
Libertad Asuncion60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
2.88Expected goals
1.03Deportivo Recoleta xG
1.85Libertad Asuncion xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 1.0 – 1.8 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Libertad Asuncion 60%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 0–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roque F. Batelhana.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
