Value bet: Club Guarani to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.09
Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Libertad Asuncion welcome Club Guarani to Dr. Nicolás Leoz for a Division Profesional Clausura fixture on Sunday 11 October (23:20 WAT). In the table, Libertad Asuncion are 3rd, among the top four, on 33 points after 19 matches; Club Guarani are 5th (upper half) with 31. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Recoleta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Club Guarani, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Sp. San Lorenzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Club Guarani 2–1 Libertad Asuncion. The last 2 head-to-heads: Libertad Asuncion 0 wins, Club Guarani 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.2 xG, Club Guarani 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 41%, draw 23%, Club Guarani 35%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Club Guarani to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Club Guarani. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad Asuncion41%fair 2.41 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Club Guarani35%fair 2.83 · @3.50
2.27Expected goals
1.20Libertad Asuncion xG
1.07Club Guarani xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.2 – 1.1 Club Guarani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Club Guarani 35%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Club Guarani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Libertad Asuncion vs Club Guarani (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 23:20 (West Africa Time) at Dr. Nicolás Leoz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
