Value bet: Nacional Asuncion to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.19
Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Club Guarani welcome Nacional Asuncion to Estadio Rogelio Livieres for a Division Profesional Clausura fixture on Saturday 17 October (21:00 WAT). In the table, Club Guarani are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 19 matches; Nacional Asuncion are 4th (among the top four) with 32. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Club Guarani, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Libertad Asuncion, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nacional Asuncion, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Recoleta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Nacional Asuncion 0–0 Club Guarani. The last 2 head-to-heads: Club Guarani 0 wins, Nacional Asuncion 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Guarani 1.0 xG, Nacional Asuncion 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Guarani 35%, draw 25%, Nacional Asuncion 40%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Nacional Asuncion to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Guarani 0–1 Nacional Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Guarani35%fair 2.85 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Nacional Asuncion40%fair 2.48 · @2.75
2.04Expected goals
0.97Club Guarani xG
1.07Nacional Asuncion xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Club Guarani 1.0 – 1.1 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Club Guarani have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nacional Asuncion 40%.
How many goals will there be in Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Club Guarani 0–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion?
Club Guarani vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rogelio Livieres.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
