Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Olimpia to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOlimpia to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Olimpia travel to face Sportivo Ameliano on Sunday 25 October in the Division Profesional Clausura, with Estadio Jose Tomas Silva the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sportivo Ameliano are 9th, lower half, on 19 points after 19 matches; Olimpia are 1st (leading the league) with 42. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cerro Porteno, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Olimpia, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over 2 de Mayo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Olimpia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Sportivo Ameliano.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Olimpia 2–1 Sportivo Ameliano. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sportivo Ameliano 0 wins, Olimpia 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Ameliano 0.6 xG, Olimpia 1.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Ameliano 13%, draw 24%, Olimpia 63%.
Lower-risk option: Olimpia or draw (87%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Olimpia to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Olimpia or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Ameliano 0–1 Olimpia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Ameliano13%fair 7.70 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
Olimpia63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
2.33Expected goals
0.63Sportivo Ameliano xG
1.70Olimpia xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 0.6 – 1.7 Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia?
Our pick is Olimpia or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia?
On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olimpia 63%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 0–1 Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia?
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Tomas Silva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
