Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓66% · @1.50
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Friday 23 October: Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Luqueno in the Division Profesional Clausura, played at Dr. Nicolás Leoz. In the table, Libertad Asuncion are 3rd, among the top four, on 33 points after 19 matches; Sportivo Luqueno are 8th (lower half) with 22.
Current form
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sportivo Trinidense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sportivo Luqueno, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Club Sp. San Lorenzo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Sportivo Luqueno 1–2 Libertad Asuncion. The last 3 head-to-heads: Libertad Asuncion 3 wins, Sportivo Luqueno 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 2.1 xG, Sportivo Luqueno 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 66%, draw 24%, Sportivo Luqueno 10%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Libertad Asuncion to win (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 2–0 Sportivo Luqueno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad Asuncion66%fair 1.51 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @4.00
Sportivo Luqueno10%fair 10.13 · @5.80
2.87Expected goals
2.11Libertad Asuncion xG
0.76Sportivo Luqueno xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 2.1 – 0.8 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sportivo Luqueno 10%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 2–0 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Dr. Nicolás Leoz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
