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Nacional Asuncion v Sportivo Trinidense: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio Arsenio Erico
Nacional Asuncion 46%Draw 24%Sportivo Trinidense 30% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.00
50%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65

Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 24 October the Division Profesional Clausura brings Nacional Asuncion against Sportivo Trinidense at Estadio Arsenio Erico. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Nacional Asuncion are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 19 matches; Sportivo Trinidense are 2nd (among the top four) with 34. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Nacional Asuncion, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Club Guarani, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sportivo Trinidense, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Libertad Asuncion, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. The last 3 head-to-heads: Nacional Asuncion 1 win, Sportivo Trinidense 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nacional Asuncion 1.3 xG, Sportivo Trinidense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional Asuncion 46%, draw 24%, Sportivo Trinidense 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nacional Asuncion46%fair 2.18 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Sportivo Trinidense30%fair 3.32 · @3.00
2.33Expected goals
1.33Nacional Asuncion xG
1.00Sportivo Trinidense xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–09%

From our goals model: Nacional Asuncion 1.3 – 1.0 Sportivo Trinidense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNacional Asuncion to win ✗46%2.182.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.991.85
Draw no betNacional Asuncion (draw no bet) ✗60%1.66–
Asian handicapSportivo Trinidense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreNacional Asuncion to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.65–

Recent results

Nacional Asuncion – last 6

WWDDDW
17 Oct@ Club Guarani2–0W
12 Octvs Deportivo Recoleta1–0W
6 Oct@ Olimpia1–1D
30 Sep@ Independiente F.b.c.2–2D
25 Sepvs Sportivo Ameliano1–1D
18 Sepvs 2 de Mayo3–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sportivo Trinidense – last 6

WDWWLW
18 Octvs Libertad Asuncion1–0W
10 Oct@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–1D
5 Octvs Sportivo Luqueno3–2W
26 Sepvs Cerro Porteno2–1W
18 Sepvs Club Guarani0–1L
12 Sep@ Deportivo Recoleta3–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026Sportivo Trinidense v Nacional Asuncion1–1
10 May 2026Nacional Asuncion v Sportivo Trinidense2–1
9 Mar 2026Sportivo Trinidense v Nacional Asuncion1–1
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

On our numbers Nacional Asuncion have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sportivo Trinidense 30%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Our predicted score is Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.