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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Olimpia v Deportivo Recoleta: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio Manuel Ferreira

Olimpia

WWWDD
4–1
FT
Olimpia 64%Draw 20%Deportivo Recoleta 15% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.85
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultOlimpia to win ✓64% · @1.30
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:15 WAT, Thursday 5 November: Olimpia v Deportivo Recoleta in the Division Profesional Clausura, played at Estadio Manuel Ferreira. In the table, Olimpia are 1st, leading the league, on 42 points after 19 matches; Deportivo Recoleta are 11th (in the drop zone) with 16. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Olimpia, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cerro Porteno, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sportivo Ameliano, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Deportivo Recoleta 1–2 Olimpia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Olimpia 2.0 xG, Deportivo Recoleta 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpia 64%, draw 20%, Deportivo Recoleta 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpia 2–0 Deportivo Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Olimpia64%fair 1.55 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.50
Deportivo Recoleta15%fair 6.56 · @7.50
2.86Expected goals
2.01Olimpia xG
0.85Deportivo Recoleta xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Olimpia 2.0 – 0.9 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlimpia to win ✓64%1.551.30
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓85%1.181.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.941.83
Draw no betOlimpia (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapOlimpia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.551.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.231.20
First team to scoreOlimpia to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultOlimpia ahead at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olimpia / FT Olimpia ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Olimpia – last 6

WWWDDD
1 Nov@ Cerro Porteno2–0W
25 Oct@ Sportivo Ameliano3–2W
17 Octvs 2 de Mayo3–0W
11 Oct@ Rubio NU0–0D
6 Octvs Nacional Asuncion1–1D
1 Octvs Sportivo Luqueno1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Recoleta – last 6

WWDWLL
31 Octvs Sportivo Ameliano3–0W
28 Oct@ Sportivo Luqueno2–0W
24 Oct@ 2 de Mayo1–1D
16 Octvs Rubio NU1–0W
12 Oct@ Nacional Asuncion0–1L
5 Octvs Libertad Asuncion1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Deportivo Recoleta v Olimpia1–2
Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta?

On our numbers Olimpia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportivo Recoleta 15%.

How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Our predicted score is Olimpia 2–0 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta?

Olimpia vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Ferreira.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.