Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Al Ansar to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Ansar to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceAl Ansar or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.28
Paro vs Al Ansar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Ansar travel to face Paro on Tuesday 20 October in the AFC Challenge League, with Changlimithang Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Paro, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ahal, away. 4.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Al Ansar, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Al Ittihad, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paro 0.8 xG, Al Ansar 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paro 17%, draw 21%, Al Ansar 62%.
Lower-risk option: Al Ansar or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Al Ansar to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Ansar or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paro 0–1 Al Ansar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paro17%fair 5.94 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.25
Al Ansar62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
2.67Expected goals
0.83Paro xG
1.84Al Ansar xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Paro 0.8 – 1.8 Al Ansar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ansar to win✓
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Al Ansar or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.67
Draw no bet
Al Ansar (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Al Ansar -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Al Ansar to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Al Ansar ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ansar / FT Al Ansar✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Paro – last 6
DWWWWW
17 Oct
@ Ahal
2–2
D
8 Oct
@ Thimphu City
2–0
W
3 Oct
vs Bhutan U19
6–0
W
12 Sep
@ Transport United
4–2
W
8 Sep
@ Ugyen Academy
10–0
W
22 Aug
vs RTC
1–0
W
4.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Ansar – last 6
WWWWDD
17 Oct
vs Al Ittihad
2–0
W
8 Oct
vs Al Hikma
2–1
W
2 Aug
@ Al Nejmeh
2–1
W
28 Jul
@ Jwaaya FC
2–1
W
24 Jul
@ Al Ahed
1–1
D
20 Jul
vs Al Nejmeh
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paro and Al Ansar.
Our pick is Al Ansar or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Paro vs Al Ansar?
On our numbers Paro have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Ansar 62%.
How many goals will there be in Paro vs Al Ansar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paro vs Al Ansar?
Our predicted score is Paro 0–1 Al Ansar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Paro vs Al Ansar?
Paro vs Al Ansar (AFC Challenge League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Changlimithang Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fortis1
Goa2
Al Ittihad5
Ahal1