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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportiva Agropecuaria v Union Comercio: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Peru · Estadio Victor Montoya Segura
Deportiva Agropecuaria 38%Draw 24%Union Comercio 38% Expected goals 0.94 – 0.94
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Union Comercio to win @ 3.40 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDeportiva Agropecuaria to win ✓38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.95

Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:15 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Deportiva Agropecuaria v Union Comercio in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Victor Montoya Segura. In the table, Deportiva Agropecuaria are 6th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Union Comercio are 1st (leading the league) with 32.

Current form

Deportiva Agropecuaria, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cesar Vallejo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Union Comercio, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over U. San Martin, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Union Comercio, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Deportiva Agropecuaria.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Union Comercio 1–0 Deportiva Agropecuaria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportiva Agropecuaria 0.9 xG, Union Comercio 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportiva Agropecuaria 38%, draw 24%, Union Comercio 38%.
  • Price worth noting: Union Comercio to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportiva Agropecuaria 0–0 Union Comercio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportiva Agropecuaria38%fair 2.64 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Union Comercio38%fair 2.65 · @3.40
1.88Expected goals
0.94Deportiva Agropecuaria xG
0.94Union Comercio xG
40%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–015%
1–014%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Deportiva Agropecuaria 0.9 – 0.9 Union Comercio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportiva Agropecuaria to win ✓38%2.642.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓60%1.65–
Draw no betDeportiva Agropecuaria (draw no bet) ✓50%2.00–
Asian handicapUnion Comercio +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.501.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreDeportiva Agropecuaria to score first ✓42%2.36–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓52%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14%6.95–

Recent results

Deportiva Agropecuaria – last 6

WLDLWD
5 Sep@ Cesar Vallejo1–0W
16 Aug@ U. San Martin1–3L
8 Augvs Deportivo Llacuabamba0–0D
2 Aug@ Carlos A. Mannucci0–2L
26 Julvs Molinos El Pirata3–1W
19 Jul@ Academia Cantolao0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Union Comercio – last 6

WDDWWD
6 Sepvs U. San Martin1–0W
30 Aug@ Deportivo Llacuabamba1–1D
23 Augvs Carlos A. Mannucci0–0D
17 Aug@ Molinos El Pirata2–1W
7 Augvs Academia Cantolao4–0W
25 Jul@ Cesar Vallejo0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Union Comercio v Deportiva Agropecuaria1–0
Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio16952+1432
2Carlos A. Mannucci16934+1030
3Deportivo Llacuabamba16844+1328
4Molinos El Pirata16745+525
5U. San Martin16736+924
6Deportiva Agropecuaria15564+221
7Cesar Vallejo15546+119
8Academia Cantolao16358-1114
9San Marcos140014-430

More Segunda División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio?

On our numbers Deportiva Agropecuaria have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union Comercio 38%.

How many goals will there be in Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio?

Our predicted score is Deportiva Agropecuaria 0–0 Union Comercio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio?

Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victor Montoya Segura.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.