Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Union Comercio to win @ 3.40 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportiva Agropecuaria to win ✓38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.95
Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:15 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Deportiva Agropecuaria v Union Comercio in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Victor Montoya Segura. In the table, Deportiva Agropecuaria are 6th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Union Comercio are 1st (leading the league) with 32.
Current form
Deportiva Agropecuaria, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cesar Vallejo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Union Comercio, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over U. San Martin, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Union Comercio, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Deportiva Agropecuaria.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Union Comercio 1–0 Deportiva Agropecuaria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportiva Agropecuaria 0.9 xG, Union Comercio 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportiva Agropecuaria 38%, draw 24%, Union Comercio 38%.
Price worth noting: Union Comercio to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportiva Agropecuaria 0–0 Union Comercio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportiva Agropecuaria38%fair 2.64 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Union Comercio38%fair 2.65 · @3.40
1.88Expected goals
0.94Deportiva Agropecuaria xG
0.94Union Comercio xG
40%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–014%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Deportiva Agropecuaria 0.9 – 0.9 Union Comercio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio?
On our numbers Deportiva Agropecuaria have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union Comercio 38%.
How many goals will there be in Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio?
Our predicted score is Deportiva Agropecuaria 0–0 Union Comercio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio?
Deportiva Agropecuaria vs Union Comercio (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victor Montoya Segura.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.