Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cumbayá to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCumbayá to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceCumbayá or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.73
Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Wednesday 26 August: Cumbayá v LDU Portoviejo in the Liga Pro Serie B. In the table, Cumbayá are 10th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 22 matches; LDU Portoviejo are 9th (lower half) with 27. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cumbayá, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Atletico FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
LDU Portoviejo, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over 22 de Julio, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended LDU Portoviejo 0–0 Cumbayá. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cumbayá 0 wins, LDU Portoviejo 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cumbayá 1.4 xG, LDU Portoviejo 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cumbayá 61%, draw 24%, LDU Portoviejo 15%.
Lower-risk option: Cumbayá or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Cumbayá to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cumbayá or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cumbayá 1–0 LDU Portoviejo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cumbayá61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.90
LDU Portoviejo15%fair 6.78 · @3.90
1.89Expected goals
1.40Cumbayá xG
0.49LDU Portoviejo xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–015%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cumbayá 1.4 – 0.5 LDU Portoviejo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
Our pick is Cumbayá or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
On our numbers Cumbayá have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and LDU Portoviejo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
Our predicted score is Cumbayá 1–0 LDU Portoviejo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
