Value bet: LDU Portoviejo to win @ 3.40 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEl Nacional to win ✗37% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.10
El Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
El Nacional welcome LDU Portoviejo for a Liga Pro Serie B fixture on Saturday 5 September (01:00 WAT). In the table, El Nacional are 12th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 22 matches; LDU Portoviejo are 9th (lower half) with 27. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
El Nacional, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Gualaceo SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
LDU Portoviejo, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cumbayá, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended El Nacional 0–1 LDU Portoviejo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Nacional 1.0 xG, LDU Portoviejo 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Nacional 37%, draw 26%, LDU Portoviejo 37%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: LDU Portoviejo to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Nacional 0–0 LDU Portoviejo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Nacional37%fair 2.68 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.70
LDU Portoviejo37%fair 2.73 · @3.40
1.93Expected goals
0.97El Nacional xG
0.96LDU Portoviejo xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: El Nacional 1.0 – 1.0 LDU Portoviejo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win El Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo?
On our numbers El Nacional have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and LDU Portoviejo 37%.
How many goals will there be in El Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo?
Our predicted score is El Nacional 0–0 LDU Portoviejo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is El Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo?
El Nacional vs LDU Portoviejo (Liga Pro Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
