Value bet: Ario Eslamshahr to win @ 3.22 – our chance 41% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArio Eslamshahr to win ✓41% · @3.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.08
Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Naft Gachsaran welcome Ario Eslamshahr for a Azadegan League fixture on Tuesday 22 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Naft Gachsaran are 8th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Ario Eslamshahr are 7th (upper half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Naft Gachsaran, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Be'sat Kermanshah, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Ario Eslamshahr, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Naft Masjed Soleyman, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ario Eslamshahr, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Naft Gachsaran.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naft Gachsaran 0.8 xG, Ario Eslamshahr 0.9 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naft Gachsaran 34%, draw 25%, Ario Eslamshahr 41%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Ario Eslamshahr to win @3.22 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naft Gachsaran 0–0 Ario Eslamshahr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naft Gachsaran34%fair 2.94 · @2.22
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.77
Ario Eslamshahr41%fair 2.44 · @3.22
1.73Expected goals
0.80Naft Gachsaran xG
0.93Ario Eslamshahr xG
48%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Naft Gachsaran 0.8 – 0.9 Ario Eslamshahr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ario Eslamshahr to win✓
41%
2.44
3.22 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.32
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.50
Draw no bet
Ario Eslamshahr (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Naft Gachsaran +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.32
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.06
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Ario Eslamshahr to score first✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.08
–
Recent results
Naft Gachsaran – last 6
DLDLLL
16 Sep
@ Be'sat Kermanshah
0–0
D
16 Jul
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Havadar
2–2
D
3 Jul
vs Mes Soongoun
0–1
L
27 Jun
vs Nassaji Mazandaran
0–3
L
21 Jun
@ Shenavarsazi Qeshm
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ario Eslamshahr – last 6
LWDDWL
16 Sep
vs Naft Masjed Soleyman
0–3
L
17 Jul
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Shenavarsazi Qeshm
1–1
D
3 Jul
@ Damash Gilanian
1–1
D
27 Jun
vs Be'sat Kermanshah
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ Saipa
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft Gachsaran and Ario Eslamshahr.
What is the prediction for Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr?
On our numbers Naft Gachsaran have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ario Eslamshahr 41%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Our predicted score is Naft Gachsaran 0–0 Ario Eslamshahr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Naft Gachsaran vs Ario Eslamshahr (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
