Value bet: Be'sat Kermanshah to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBe'sat Kermanshah to win ✗43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.54
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.13
Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Be'sat Kermanshah travel to face Mes Rafsanjan on Tuesday 29 September in the Azadegan League, with Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Mes Rafsanjan are 4th, among the top four, on 16 points after 9 matches; Be'sat Kermanshah are 12th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
Mes Rafsanjan, last 4: DDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mes Soongoun, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Be'sat Kermanshah, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Havadar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Mes Rafsanjan, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Be'sat Kermanshah.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mes Rafsanjan 0.6 xG, Be'sat Kermanshah 0.8 xG – a total near 1.4. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mes Rafsanjan 32%, draw 25%, Be'sat Kermanshah 43%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.54.
Price worth noting: Be'sat Kermanshah to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mes Rafsanjan 0–0 Be'sat Kermanshah. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mes Rafsanjan32%fair 3.09 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.79
Be'sat Kermanshah43%fair 2.34 · @2.62
1.39Expected goals
0.61Mes Rafsanjan xG
0.78Be'sat Kermanshah xG
45%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–025%
0–119%
1–015%
1–112%
0–28%
1–25%
From our goals model: Mes Rafsanjan 0.6 – 0.8 Be'sat Kermanshah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Be'sat Kermanshah to win✗
43%
2.34
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.32
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.54
Draw no bet
Be'sat Kermanshah (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Mes Rafsanjan +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.17 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Be'sat Kermanshah to score first✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.13
–
Recent results
Mes Rafsanjan – last 4
DDLW
22 Sep
@ Mes Soongoun
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Havadar
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Esteghlal FC
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Paykan
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Be'sat Kermanshah – last 6
WDLLLL
22 Sep
@ Havadar
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Naft Gachsaran
0–0
D
16 Jul
vs Pars Jonoubi JAM
1–2
L
3 Jul
vs Fard Alborz
0–2
L
27 Jun
@ Ario Eslamshahr
0–2
L
21 Jun
vs Havadar
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mes Rafsanjan and Be'sat Kermanshah.
What is the prediction for Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah?
On our numbers Mes Rafsanjan have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Be'sat Kermanshah 43%.
How many goals will there be in Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah?
Our predicted score is Mes Rafsanjan 0–0 Be'sat Kermanshah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah?
Mes Rafsanjan vs Be'sat Kermanshah (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
