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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Naft Masjed Soleyman v Fard Alborz: numbers & prediction

Naft Masjed Soleyman 33%Draw 26%Fard Alborz 42% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.07
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.31 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.31Odds

Picks by market

ResultFard Alborz to win ✗42% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.49
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.72

Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Naft Masjed Soleyman v Fard Alborz in the Azadegan League. In the table, Naft Masjed Soleyman are 11th, lower half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Fard Alborz are 3rd (among the top four) with 17.

Current form

Naft Masjed Soleyman, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Pars Jonoubi JAM, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Fard Alborz, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Shenavarsazi Qeshm, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Fard Alborz, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Naft Masjed Soleyman.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Naft Masjed Soleyman 0.9 xG, Fard Alborz 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Naft Masjed Soleyman 33%, draw 26%, Fard Alborz 42%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.49.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naft Masjed Soleyman 0–1 Fard Alborz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Naft Masjed Soleyman33%fair 3.06 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.72
Fard Alborz42%fair 2.40 · @2.38
1.97Expected goals
0.90Naft Masjed Soleyman xG
1.07Fard Alborz xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%

From our goals model: Naft Masjed Soleyman 0.9 – 1.1 Fard Alborz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFard Alborz to win ✗42%2.402.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.941.49
Draw no betFard Alborz (draw no bet) ✗56%1.78–
Asian handicapNaft Masjed Soleyman +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.741.64
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.461.31
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.171.06
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreFard Alborz to score first ✗47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.72–

Recent results

Naft Masjed Soleyman – last 3

LLW
28 Sep@ Pars Jonoubi JAM2–3L
22 Sepvs Naft Bandar Abbas0–1L
16 Sep@ Ario Eslamshahr3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Fard Alborz – last 6

DWDDLW
27 Sepvs Shenavarsazi Qeshm0–0D
21 Sep@ Niroye Zamini1–0W
15 Sepvs Mes Kerman1–1D
16 Jul@ Damash Gilanian0–0D
11 Julvs Nassaji Mazandaran0–1L
3 Jul@ Be'sat Kermanshah2–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Naft Masjed Soleyman and Fard Alborz.

Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz head-to-head page →

Azadegan League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pars Jonoubi JAM9630+821
2Shenavarsazi Qeshm9531+418
3Fard Alborz9522+917
4Mes Rafsanjan9441+516
5Mes Soongoun9432+115
6Shahin Bandar Ameri9342013
7Ario Eslamshahr9414013
8Naft Gachsaran9333+112
9Novin Ahvaz9261+112
10Saipa9333012
11Naft Masjed Soleyman9324+211
12Be'sat Kermanshah9234-29
13Mes Kerman9144-37
14Naft Bandar Abbas9144-87
15Niroye Zamini9117-94
16Havadar9045-94

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.

Who will win Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz?

On our numbers Naft Masjed Soleyman have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fard Alborz 42%.

How many goals will there be in Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz?

Our predicted score is Naft Masjed Soleyman 0–1 Fard Alborz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz?

Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz (Azadegan League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.