South Hobart 62%Draw 16%Kingborough Lions 21%Expected goals 2.59 – 1.49
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: South Hobart to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSouth Hobart to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83
South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
05:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: South Hobart v Kingborough Lions in the Tasmania NPL, played at Darcy Street.
Current form
South Hobart, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Devonport City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Kingborough Lions, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Launceston City, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Kingborough Lions 1–1 South Hobart. The last 2 head-to-heads: South Hobart 1 win, Kingborough Lions 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Hobart 2.6 xG, Kingborough Lions 1.5 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Hobart 62%, draw 16%, Kingborough Lions 21%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: South Hobart to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Hobart 2–1 Kingborough Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Hobart62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw16%fair 6.12 · @3.50
Kingborough Lions21%fair 4.67 · @3.30
4.08Expected goals
2.59South Hobart xG
1.49Kingborough Lions xG
67%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: South Hobart 2.6 – 1.5 Kingborough Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?
On our numbers South Hobart have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kingborough Lions 21%.
How many goals will there be in South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?
Our predicted score is South Hobart 2–1 Kingborough Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?
South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Darcy Street.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania NPL · Australia · Darcy Street
