Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh v Bình Phước in the V.League 1.
Current form
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Công An Nhân Dân, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Bình Phước, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Viettel, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1.5 xG, Bình Phước 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 59%, draw 23%, Bình Phước 18%.
Lower-risk option: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1–0 Bình Phước. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh59%fair 1.71 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.10
Bình Phước18%fair 5.55 · @3.70
2.18Expected goals
1.50Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh xG
0.67Bình Phước xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1.5 – 0.7 Bình Phước expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win✓
59%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Draw no bet
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Bình Phước +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh / FT Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh – last 6
LLDDWL
5 Sep
@ Công An Nhân Dân
0–2
L
7 Jun
@ Phu Dong
0–3
L
31 May
vs Da Nang
0–0
D
24 May
vs Công An Nhân Dân
1–1
D
17 May
@ Hoang Anh Gia Lai
2–0
W
10 May
vs Viettel
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Bình Phước – last 6
LLWLLW
4 Sep
vs Viettel
0–2
L
6 Jun
@ Xuan Thien Phu Tho
0–1
L
30 May
vs Long An
3–0
W
8 May
@ Bắc Ninh
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Ho Chi Minh
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Sanna Khanh Hoa
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh and Bình Phước.
What is the prediction for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước?
Our pick is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước?
On our numbers Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bình Phước 18%.
How many goals will there be in Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước?
Our predicted score is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1–0 Bình Phước, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước?
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
