Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCông An Nhân Dân to win ✓66% · @1.40
Double chanceCông An Nhân Dân or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.55
Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the V.League 1 brings Bình Phước against Công An Nhân Dân at Binh Phuoc Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Bình Phước, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Công An Nhân Dân, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Gamba Osaka, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Công An Nhân Dân, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Bình Phước.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bình Phước 0.5 xG, Công An Nhân Dân 1.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bình Phước 11%, draw 23%, Công An Nhân Dân 66%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.40, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bình Phước 0–1 Công An Nhân Dân. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bình Phước11%fair 9.44 · @6.00
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @4.33
Công An Nhân Dân66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
2.26Expected goals
0.53Bình Phước xG
1.73Công An Nhân Dân xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–216%
0–010%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Bình Phước 0.5 – 1.7 Công An Nhân Dân expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Công An Nhân Dân to win✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Double chance
Công An Nhân Dân or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.83
Draw no bet
Công An Nhân Dân (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Công An Nhân Dân -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.25 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.50 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.20
First team to score
Công An Nhân Dân to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Công An Nhân Dân ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Công An Nhân Dân / FT Công An Nhân Dân✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.55
–
Recent results
Bình Phước – last 6
LLLWLL
13 Sep
@ Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Viettel
0–2
L
6 Jun
@ Xuan Thien Phu Tho
0–1
L
30 May
vs Long An
3–0
W
8 May
@ Bắc Ninh
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Ho Chi Minh
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Công An Nhân Dân – last 6
LWWWWL
15 Sep
@ Gamba Osaka
1–4
L
10 Sep
@ Viettel
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
2–0
W
30 Aug
vs Ho Chi Minh
5–0
W
11 Aug
@ Adelaide United
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ Viettel
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bình Phước and Công An Nhân Dân.
What is the prediction for Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân?
On our numbers Bình Phước have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Công An Nhân Dân 66%.
How many goals will there be in Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our predicted score is Bình Phước 0–1 Công An Nhân Dân, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Binh Phuoc Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
