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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hai Phong v Thanh Hóa: numbers & prediction

V.League 1 · Vietnam
1–2
FT
Hai Phong 54%Draw 24%Thanh Hóa 22% Expected goals 2.56 – 1.69
78%
Betarazi pick

Hai Phong or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHai Phong to win ✗54% · @1.95
Double chanceHai Phong or draw ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.65

Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Hai Phong v Thanh Hóa in the V.League 1. In the table, Hai Phong are 7th, upper half, on 32 points after 26 matches; Thanh Hóa are 11th (lower half) with 25.

Current form

Hai Phong, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Than Quang Ninh, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Thanh Hóa, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Binh Duong, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Hai Phong 3–3 Thanh Hóa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hai Phong 2.6 xG, Thanh Hóa 1.7 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hai Phong 54%, draw 24%, Thanh Hóa 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hai Phong or draw (78%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hai Phong or draw (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hai Phong 2–1 Thanh Hóa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hai Phong54%fair 1.85 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Thanh Hóa22%fair 4.53 · @3.30
4.25Expected goals
2.56Hai Phong xG
1.69Thanh Hóa xG
65%Both score
80%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%

From our goals model: Hai Phong 2.6 – 1.7 Thanh Hóa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHai Phong to win ✗54%1.851.95 ▲
Double chanceHai Phong or draw ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.65 ▲
Draw no betHai Phong (draw no bet) ✗71%1.41–
Asian handicapThanh Hóa +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
First team to scoreHai Phong to score first59%1.68–
Half-time resultHai Phong ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hai Phong / FT Hai Phong ✗37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.65–

Recent results

Hai Phong – last 6

LWLDLL
20 Sepvs Than Quang Ninh0–1L
13 Sep@ Hoang Anh Gia Lai3–1W
5 Sepvs Phu Dong1–4L
7 Junvs Nam Dinh1–1D
31 May@ Pho Hien1–3L
23 May@ Da Nang0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Thanh Hóa – last 6

LLWLLD
19 Sepvs Binh Duong0–2L
11 Sep@ Phu Dong1–2L
6 Sepvs Da Nang3–2W
7 Jun@ Da Nang0–4L
31 Mayvs Phu Dong0–2L
23 Mayvs Hoang Anh Gia Lai1–1D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Hai Phong v Thanh Hóa3–3
Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa head-to-head page →

V.League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Công An Nhân Dân262042+3664
2Viettel261592+1854
3Phu Dong261565+2251
4Ha Noi261448+1846
5Ho Chi Minh2610610-836
6Nam Dinh26989+135
7Hai Phong269512+132
8Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh267811-1429
9Song Lam Nghe An267613-1327
10Hoang Anh Gia Lai266812-1326
11Thanh Hóa2651011-1225
12Da Nang265912-624
13Pho Hien265912-1824
14Binh Duong266614-1224

More V.League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa?

Our pick is Hai Phong or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa?

On our numbers Hai Phong have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Thanh Hóa 22%.

How many goals will there be in Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa?

Our predicted score is Hai Phong 2–1 Thanh Hóa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa?

Hai Phong vs Thanh Hóa (V.League 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.