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Song Lam Nghe An v Ho Chi Minh: numbers & prediction

V.League 1 · Vietnam · Vinh Stadium
1–1
FT
Song Lam Nghe An 40%Draw 24%Ho Chi Minh 35% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.32
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultSong Lam Nghe An to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Song Lam Nghe An welcome Ho Chi Minh to Vinh Stadium for a V.League 1 fixture on Sunday 11 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Song Lam Nghe An are 9th, lower half, on 27 points after 26 matches; Ho Chi Minh are 5th (upper half) with 36.

Current form

Song Lam Nghe An, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lam Dong, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Ho Chi Minh, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ratchaburi, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Song Lam Nghe An, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Ho Chi Minh.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Ho Chi Minh 3–1 Song Lam Nghe An.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Song Lam Nghe An 1.4 xG, Ho Chi Minh 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Song Lam Nghe An 40%, draw 24%, Ho Chi Minh 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Song Lam Nghe An 1–1 Ho Chi Minh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Song Lam Nghe An40%fair 2.47 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Ho Chi Minh35%fair 2.84 · @2.80
2.75Expected goals
1.43Song Lam Nghe An xG
1.32Ho Chi Minh xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Song Lam Nghe An 1.4 – 1.3 Ho Chi Minh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSong Lam Nghe An to win ✗40%2.472.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.73
Draw no betSong Lam Nghe An (draw no bet)53%1.87–
Asian handicapHo Chi Minh +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreSong Lam Nghe An to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Song Lam Nghe An / FT Song Lam Nghe An ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.57–

Recent results

Song Lam Nghe An – last 6

WWWLLW
6 Oct@ Lam Dong2–0W
12 Sep@ Ha Noi4–1W
6 Sepvs Bắc Ninh1–0W
7 Junvs Pho Hien1–3L
31 May@ Nam Dinh0–3L
24 May@ Binh Duong1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ho Chi Minh – last 6

DLDWLW
7 Oct@ Ratchaburi1–1D
25 Sepvs Văn Hiến0–1L
18 Sep@ Binh Dinh1–1D
12 Sep@ Lam Dong1–0W
11 Sep@ Bắc Ninh0–1L
5 Sepvs Ha Noi3–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Ho Chi Minh v Song Lam Nghe An3–1
Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh head-to-head page →

V.League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Công An Nhân Dân262042+3664
2Viettel261592+1854
3Phu Dong261565+2251
4Ha Noi261448+1846
5Ho Chi Minh2610610-836
6Nam Dinh26989+135
7Hai Phong269512+132
8Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh267811-1429
9Song Lam Nghe An267613-1327
10Hoang Anh Gia Lai266812-1326
11Thanh Hóa2651011-1225
12Da Nang265912-624
13Pho Hien265912-1824
14Binh Duong266614-1224

More V.League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh?

On our numbers Song Lam Nghe An have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ho Chi Minh 35%.

How many goals will there be in Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh?

Our predicted score is Song Lam Nghe An 1–1 Ho Chi Minh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh?

Song Lam Nghe An vs Ho Chi Minh (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Vinh Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.