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Công An Nhân Dân v Thanh Hóa: numbers & prediction

V.League 1 · Vietnam · Hang Day Stadium
1–1
FT
Công An Nhân Dân 72%Draw 16%Thanh Hóa 12% Expected goals 2.09 – 0.66
72%
Betarazi pick

Công An Nhân Dân to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCông An Nhân Dân to win ✗72% · @1.22
Double chanceCông An Nhân Dân or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.86

Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 22 October the V.League 1 brings Công An Nhân Dân against Thanh Hóa at Hang Day Stadium. Kick-off: 13:15 WAT. In the table, Công An Nhân Dân are 1st, leading the league, on 64 points after 26 matches; Thanh Hóa are 11th (lower half) with 25. There are 39 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Công An Nhân Dân, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ha Noi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Thanh Hóa, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Nam Dinh, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Công An Nhân Dân, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Thanh Hóa.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Công An Nhân Dân 2–0 Thanh Hóa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Công An Nhân Dân 2 wins, Thanh Hóa 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Công An Nhân Dân 2.1 xG, Thanh Hóa 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Công An Nhân Dân 72%, draw 16%, Thanh Hóa 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Công An Nhân Dân to win (72%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Công An Nhân Dân 2–0 Thanh Hóa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Công An Nhân Dân72%fair 1.38 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.38 · @6.00
Thanh Hóa12%fair 8.31 · @9.50
2.75Expected goals
2.09Công An Nhân Dân xG
0.66Thanh Hóa xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–16%

From our goals model: Công An Nhân Dân 2.1 – 0.7 Thanh Hóa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCông An Nhân Dân to win ✗72%1.381.22
Double chanceCông An Nhân Dân or draw ✓88%1.141.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.73
Draw no betCông An Nhân Dân (draw no bet)86%1.17–
Asian handicapCông An Nhân Dân -1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreCông An Nhân Dân to score first ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultCông An Nhân Dân ahead at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Công An Nhân Dân / FT Công An Nhân Dân ✗46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.86–

Recent results

Công An Nhân Dân – last 6

LLWWLW
18 Octvs Ha Noi1–2L
13 Octvs Kashima0–1L
8 Oct@ Home United1–0W
20 Sep@ Bình Phước3–0W
15 Sep@ Gamba Osaka1–4L
10 Sep@ Viettel1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Thanh Hóa – last 6

LWLLWL
17 Octvs Nam Dinh0–2L
10 Oct@ Hai Phong2–1W
19 Sepvs Binh Duong0–2L
11 Sep@ Phu Dong1–2L
6 Sepvs Da Nang3–2W
7 Jun@ Da Nang0–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Công An Nhân Dân v Thanh Hóa2–0
24 Feb 2026Thanh Hóa v Công An Nhân Dân1–3
Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa head-to-head page →

V.League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Công An Nhân Dân262042+3664
2Viettel261592+1854
3Phu Dong261565+2251
4Ha Noi261448+1846
5Ho Chi Minh2610610-836
6Nam Dinh26989+135
7Hai Phong269512+132
8Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh267811-1429
9Song Lam Nghe An267613-1327
10Hoang Anh Gia Lai266812-1326
11Thanh Hóa2651011-1225
12Da Nang265912-624
13Pho Hien265912-1824
14Binh Duong266614-1224

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa?

Our pick is Công An Nhân Dân to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa?

On our numbers Công An Nhân Dân have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Thanh Hóa 12%.

How many goals will there be in Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa?

Our predicted score is Công An Nhân Dân 2–0 Thanh Hóa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa?

Công An Nhân Dân vs Thanh Hóa (V.League 1) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Hang Day Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.