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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Thanh Hóa v Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh: numbers & prediction

V.League 1 · Vietnam
Thanh Hóa 36%Draw 25%Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 39% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.49
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65

Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 30 October the V.League 1 brings Thanh Hóa against Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Thanh Hóa are 11th, lower half, on 25 points after 26 matches; Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh are 8th (lower half) with 29.

Current form

Thanh Hóa, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Công An Nhân Dân, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hai Phong, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Thanh Hóa.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Thanh Hóa 0–1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Thanh Hóa 1.4 xG, Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Thanh Hóa 36%, draw 25%, Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thanh Hóa 1–1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Thanh Hóa36%fair 2.78 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh39%fair 2.55 · @2.90
2.90Expected goals
1.41Thanh Hóa xG
1.49Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Thanh Hóa 1.4 – 1.5 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win ✗39%2.552.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.75 ▲
Draw no betHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapThanh Hóa +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh / FT Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh ✗23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.65–

Recent results

Thanh Hóa – last 6

DLWLLW
22 Oct@ Công An Nhân Dân1–1D
17 Octvs Nam Dinh0–2L
10 Oct@ Hai Phong2–1W
19 Sepvs Binh Duong0–2L
11 Sep@ Phu Dong1–2L
6 Sepvs Da Nang3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh – last 6

WDWDWL
24 Octvs Hai Phong2–1W
17 Octvs Song Lam Nghe An2–2D
8 Oct@ Viettel3–1W
20 Sep@ Xuan Thien Phu Tho0–0D
13 Sepvs Bình Phước1–0W
5 Sep@ Công An Nhân Dân0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Thanh Hóa v Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh0–1
Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh head-to-head page →

V.League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Công An Nhân Dân262042+3664
2Viettel261592+1854
3Phu Dong261565+2251
4Ha Noi261448+1846
5Ho Chi Minh2610610-836
6Nam Dinh26989+135
7Hai Phong269512+132
8Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh267811-1429
9Song Lam Nghe An267613-1327
10Hoang Anh Gia Lai266812-1326
11Thanh Hóa2651011-1225
12Da Nang265912-624
13Pho Hien265912-1824
14Binh Duong266614-1224

More V.League 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?

On our numbers Thanh Hóa have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 39%.

How many goals will there be in Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?

Our predicted score is Thanh Hóa 1–1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?

Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh (V.League 1) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.