Value bet: Nosta to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOrenburg II to win ✓42% · @2.07
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Orenburg II vs Nosta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Orenburg II v Nosta in the Second League Group 4. In the table, Orenburg II are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 22 matches; Nosta are 11th (in the drop zone) with 18.
Current form
Orenburg II, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rubin Kazan 2, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Nosta, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chelyabinsk II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Nosta, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Orenburg II.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Sep 2026) it ended Nosta 2–0 Orenburg II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Orenburg II 1 win, Nosta 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orenburg II 1.5 xG, Nosta 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orenburg II 42%, draw 22%, Nosta 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.69.
Price worth noting: Nosta to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orenburg II 1–1 Nosta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orenburg II42%fair 2.36 · @2.07
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Nosta35%fair 2.84 · @3.25
2.82Expected goals
1.49Orenburg II xG
1.33Nosta xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Orenburg II 1.5 – 1.3 Nosta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Orenburg II vs Nosta?
On our numbers Orenburg II have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nosta 35%.
How many goals will there be in Orenburg II vs Nosta?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orenburg II vs Nosta?
Our predicted score is Orenburg II 1–1 Nosta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Orenburg II vs Nosta?
Orenburg II vs Nosta (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
