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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nosta v Izhevsk: numbers & prediction

Nosta

LDWWW
2–1
FT

Izhevsk

DWWWL
Nosta 31%Draw 24%Izhevsk 45% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.59
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.46Odds
1

Value bet: Nosta to win @ 3.45 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultIzhevsk to win ✗45% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92

Nosta vs Izhevsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nosta welcome Izhevsk for a Second League Group 4 fixture on Thursday 29 October (10:00 WAT). In the table, Nosta are 11th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 22 matches; Izhevsk are 8th (lower half) with 23.

Current form

Nosta, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Orenburg II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Izhevsk, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rubin Kazan 2, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Izhevsk 1–2 Nosta. The last 3 head-to-heads: Nosta 1 win, Izhevsk 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nosta 1.3 xG, Izhevsk 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nosta 31%, draw 24%, Izhevsk 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.52.
  • Price worth noting: Nosta to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nosta 1–1 Izhevsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nosta31%fair 3.20 · @3.45
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Izhevsk45%fair 2.24 · @2.14
2.89Expected goals
1.29Nosta xG
1.59Izhevsk xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Nosta 1.3 – 1.6 Izhevsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIzhevsk to win ✗45%2.242.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.34
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.52
Draw no betIzhevsk (draw no bet) ✗59%1.70–
Asian handicapNosta +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.46
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.17
First team to scoreIzhevsk to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Izhevsk / FT Izhevsk ✗27%3.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.92–

Recent results

Nosta – last 6

LDWWWW
25 Oct@ Orenburg II1–5L
18 Oct@ Chelyabinsk II0–0D
11 Octvs Rubin Kazan 22–1W
4 Oct@ Ural II2–1W
27 Sepvs Orenburg II2–0W
20 Sepvs Chelyabinsk II3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Izhevsk – last 6

DWWWLW
24 Octvs Rubin Kazan 21–1D
19 Oct@ Ural II2–0W
11 Octvs Chelyabinsk II1–0W
4 Octvs Orenburg II3–1W
27 Sep@ Rubin Kazan 21–2L
20 Sepvs Ural II2–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Aug 2026Izhevsk v Nosta1–2
26 Jul 2026Nosta v Izhevsk1–1
17 May 2026Izhevsk v Nosta2–0
Nosta vs Izhevsk head-to-head page →

Second League Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Khimik Dzerzhinsk221822+4156
2KDV221723+2053
3Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod221345+1843
4Akron II2210210+1232
5Krylya Sovetov II22697-127
6Dinamo Barnaul227510-1926
7Orenburg II22688-426
8Izhevsk22589-223
9Ural II225710-1022
10Rubin Kazan 2224810-1020
11Nosta224612-2818
12Chelyabinsk II224513-1717

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nosta vs Izhevsk?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win Nosta vs Izhevsk?

On our numbers Nosta have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Izhevsk 45%.

How many goals will there be in Nosta vs Izhevsk?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nosta vs Izhevsk?

Our predicted score is Nosta 1–1 Izhevsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Nosta vs Izhevsk?

Nosta vs Izhevsk (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.