Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.46 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.46Odds
1
Value bet: Nosta to win @ 3.45 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIzhevsk to win ✗45% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Nosta vs Izhevsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nosta welcome Izhevsk for a Second League Group 4 fixture on Thursday 29 October (10:00 WAT). In the table, Nosta are 11th, in the drop zone, on 18 points after 22 matches; Izhevsk are 8th (lower half) with 23.
Current form
Nosta, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Orenburg II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Izhevsk, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rubin Kazan 2, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Izhevsk 1–2 Nosta. The last 3 head-to-heads: Nosta 1 win, Izhevsk 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nosta 1.3 xG, Izhevsk 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nosta 31%, draw 24%, Izhevsk 45%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.52.
Price worth noting: Nosta to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nosta 1–1 Izhevsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nosta31%fair 3.20 · @3.45
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Izhevsk45%fair 2.24 · @2.14
2.89Expected goals
1.29Nosta xG
1.59Izhevsk xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Nosta 1.3 – 1.6 Izhevsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Nosta vs Izhevsk?
On our numbers Nosta have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Izhevsk 45%.
How many goals will there be in Nosta vs Izhevsk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nosta vs Izhevsk?
Our predicted score is Nosta 1–1 Izhevsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nosta vs Izhevsk?
Nosta vs Izhevsk (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.