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Krylya Sovetov II v Khimik Dzerzhinsk: numbers & prediction

Krylya Sovetov II 16%Draw 23%Khimik Dzerzhinsk 61% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.94
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultKhimik Dzerzhinsk to win ✓61% · @1.51
Double chanceKhimik Dzerzhinsk or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Krylya Sovetov II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

09:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Krylya Sovetov II v Khimik Dzerzhinsk in the Second League Group 4. In the table, Krylya Sovetov II are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 22 matches; Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 1st (leading the league) with 56. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Krylya Sovetov II, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Barnaul, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Khimik Dzerzhinsk, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Akron II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Khimik Dzerzhinsk, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Krylya Sovetov II.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Krylya Sovetov II 0–2 Khimik Dzerzhinsk. The last 2 head-to-heads: Krylya Sovetov II 0 wins, Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Krylya Sovetov II 0.9 xG, Khimik Dzerzhinsk 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Krylya Sovetov II 16%, draw 23%, Khimik Dzerzhinsk 61%.
  • Lower-risk option: Khimik Dzerzhinsk or draw (84%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Krylya Sovetov II 0–1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Krylya Sovetov II16%fair 6.19 · @4.89
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk61%fair 1.64 · @1.51
2.84Expected goals
0.90Krylya Sovetov II xG
1.94Khimik Dzerzhinsk xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Krylya Sovetov II 0.9 – 1.9 Khimik Dzerzhinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKhimik Dzerzhinsk to win ✓61%1.641.51
Double chanceKhimik Dzerzhinsk or draw ✓84%1.191.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.75
Draw no betKhimik Dzerzhinsk (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapKhimik Dzerzhinsk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.291.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.15
First team to scoreKhimik Dzerzhinsk to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultKhimik Dzerzhinsk ahead at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Khimik Dzerzhinsk / FT Khimik Dzerzhinsk ✓39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Krylya Sovetov II – last 6

LLLWDL
20 Sepvs Dinamo Barnaul1–2L
13 Sep@ Akron II0–2L
6 Sepvs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod0–1L
30 Aug@ KDV3–0W
23 Aug@ Izhevsk1–1D
16 Aug@ Akron II0–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Khimik Dzerzhinsk – last 6

LWWWLW
20 Sepvs Akron II1–2L
13 Sep@ Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod1–0W
6 Sepvs KDV2–1W
30 Augvs Dinamo Barnaul3–0W
23 Aug@ KDV0–1L
16 Augvs Orenburg II2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Krylya Sovetov II v Khimik Dzerzhinsk0–2
19 Apr 2026Khimik Dzerzhinsk v Krylya Sovetov II2–1
Krylya Sovetov II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk head-to-head page →

Second League Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Khimik Dzerzhinsk221822+4156
2KDV221723+2053
3Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod221345+1843
4Akron II2210210+1232
5Krylya Sovetov II22697-127
6Dinamo Barnaul227510-1926
7Orenburg II22688-426
8Izhevsk22589-223
9Ural II225710-1022
10Rubin Kazan 2224810-1020
11Nosta224612-2818
12Chelyabinsk II224513-1717

More Second League Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Krylya Sovetov II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Krylya Sovetov II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?

On our numbers Krylya Sovetov II have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Khimik Dzerzhinsk 61%.

How many goals will there be in Krylya Sovetov II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Krylya Sovetov II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?

Our predicted score is Krylya Sovetov II 0–1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Krylya Sovetov II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?

Krylya Sovetov II vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.