Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
1
Value bet: Akron II to win @ 1.79 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAkron II to win ✓64% · @1.79
Double chanceAkron II or draw ✓85% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.41
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Second League Group 4 brings Akron II against Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Akron II are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 22 matches; Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 3rd (among the top four) with 43.
Current form
Akron II, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to KDV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Barnaul, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Akron II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 3–2 Akron II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Akron II 2 wins, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 6.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Akron II 2.4 xG, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Akron II 64%, draw 21%, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 15%.
Lower-risk option: Akron II or draw (85%) at 1.21.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.41.
Price worth noting: Akron II to win @1.79 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Akron II or draw (85%, odds 1.21 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Akron II 2–1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Akron II64%fair 1.55 · @1.79
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.60
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod15%fair 6.72 · @3.94
3.51Expected goals
2.39Akron II xG
1.12Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Akron II 2.4 – 1.1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Our pick is Akron II or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
On our numbers Akron II have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 15%.
How many goals will there be in Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Akron II 2–1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Akron II vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
