Value bet: São Paulo W to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSão Paulo W to win ✗45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Gremio W vs São Paulo W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
São Paulo W travel to face Gremio W on Saturday 29 August in the Brasileiro Women – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Gremio W are 8th, upper half, on 27 points after 17 matches; São Paulo W are 1st (leading the league) with 41. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gremio W, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Botafogo W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
São Paulo W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mixto W, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours São Paulo W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Gremio W.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended São Paulo W 3–1 Gremio W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gremio W 1.0 xG, São Paulo W 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio W 31%, draw 24%, São Paulo W 45%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: São Paulo W to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio W 1–1 São Paulo W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gremio W31%fair 3.23 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
São Paulo W45%fair 2.23 · @2.38
2.38Expected goals
1.05Gremio W xG
1.33São Paulo W xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Gremio W 1.0 – 1.3 São Paulo W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gremio W vs São Paulo W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Gremio W vs São Paulo W?
On our numbers Gremio W have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and São Paulo W 45%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio W vs São Paulo W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio W vs São Paulo W?
Our predicted score is Gremio W 1–1 São Paulo W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gremio W vs São Paulo W?
Gremio W vs São Paulo W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
