São Paulo W 68%Draw 21%Gremio W 11%Expected goals 1.74 – 0.51
68%
Betarazi pick
São Paulo W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultSão Paulo W to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceSão Paulo W or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.46
São Paulo W vs Gremio W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gremio W travel to face São Paulo W on Saturday 5 September in the Brasileiro Women, with Estadio do Caninde the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, São Paulo W are 1st, leading the league, on 41 points after 17 matches; Gremio W are 8th (upper half) with 27. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
São Paulo W, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gremio W, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gremio W, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with São Paulo W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours São Paulo W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Gremio W.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Gremio W 0–0 São Paulo W. The last 2 head-to-heads: São Paulo W 1 win, Gremio W 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give São Paulo W 1.7 xG, Gremio W 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – São Paulo W 68%, draw 21%, Gremio W 11%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was São Paulo W to win (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: São Paulo W 1–0 Gremio W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
São Paulo W68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Gremio W11%fair 9.14 · @6.00
2.25Expected goals
1.74São Paulo W xG
0.51Gremio W xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–016%
0–011%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: São Paulo W 1.7 – 0.5 Gremio W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for São Paulo W vs Gremio W?
Our pick is São Paulo W to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win São Paulo W vs Gremio W?
On our numbers São Paulo W have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gremio W 11%.
How many goals will there be in São Paulo W vs Gremio W?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for São Paulo W vs Gremio W?
Our predicted score is São Paulo W 1–0 Gremio W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is São Paulo W vs Gremio W?
São Paulo W vs Gremio W (Brasileiro Women) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Caninde.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
