Value bet: Al Safa to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Safa to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Al Qwarah vs Al Safa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Qwarah welcome Al Safa for a Division 2 fixture on Wednesday 28 October (13:25 WAT). In the table, Al Qwarah are 12th, upper half, on 7 points after 6 matches; Al Safa are 9th (upper half) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Qwarah, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Al Qalah, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Al Safa, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Al-Ain, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al Safa, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Al Qwarah.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Qwarah 1.4 xG, Al Safa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Qwarah 39%, draw 22%, Al Safa 39%.
Price worth noting: Al Safa to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Qwarah 1–1 Al Safa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Qwarah39%fair 2.58 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Al Safa39%fair 2.54 · @2.75
2.76Expected goals
1.37Al Qwarah xG
1.39Al Safa xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Al Qwarah 1.4 – 1.4 Al Safa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Safa to win✗
39%
2.54
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Al Safa (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Al Qwarah +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Al Safa to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Safa / FT Al Safa✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Al Qwarah – last 3
LLD
23 Oct
@ Al Qalah
1–3
L
16 Oct
vs Baish
2–3
L
9 Oct
@ Al Baten
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Safa – last 6
LWDWLL
23 Oct
vs Al-Ain
0–3
L
9 Oct
vs Afif
2–1
W
9 Apr
vs Al-Kawkab
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Al Qous
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Al Saqer
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Al Loa
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Qwarah and Al Safa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Al Qwarah vs Al Safa?
On our numbers Al Qwarah have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Safa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Al Qwarah vs Al Safa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Qwarah vs Al Safa?
Our predicted score is Al Qwarah 1–1 Al Safa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al Qwarah vs Al Safa?
Al Qwarah vs Al Safa (Division 2) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 13:25 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
