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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jarabacoa v Moca: numbers & prediction

Liga Mayor · Dominican-Republic
0–1
FT

Moca

DDDWD
Jarabacoa 31%Draw 23%Moca 46% Expected goals 0.31 – 0.52
77%
Betarazi pick

Either team to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultMoca to win ✓46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓73% · fair 1.38
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓23% · fair 4.43

Jarabacoa vs Moca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Jarabacoa v Moca in the Liga Mayor. In the table, Jarabacoa are 7th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 14 matches; Moca are 4th (among the top four) with 20. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Jarabacoa, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Delfines Del Este, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Moca, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Universidad O&M, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jarabacoa 0.3 xG, Moca 0.5 xG – a total near 0.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 95% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jarabacoa 31%, draw 23%, Moca 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Either team to win (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jarabacoa 0–1 Moca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jarabacoa31%fair 3.18 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Moca46%fair 2.17 · @2.25
0.83Expected goals
0.31Jarabacoa xG
0.52Moca xG
27%Both score
5%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–044%
0–123%
1–014%
1–17%
0–26%
2–02%

From our goals model: Jarabacoa 0.3 – 0.5 Moca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMoca to win ✓46%2.172.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓73%1.38–
Draw no betMoca (draw no bet) ✓59%1.68–
Asian handicapJarabacoa +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓99%1.01–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreNo goal ✗44%2.29–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓72%1.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓23%4.43–

Recent results

Jarabacoa – last 3

LWL
29 Aug@ Delfines Del Este0–1L
25 Augvs Atlántico2–0W
22 Augvs Cibao0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Moca – last 6

DDDWDL
30 Aug@ Universidad O&M0–0D
27 Augvs Salcedo0–0D
21 Augvs Vega Real0–0D
18 Aprvs Delfines Del Este1–0W
1 Aprvs Cibao2–2D
22 Feb@ Cibao0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jarabacoa and Moca.

Jarabacoa vs Moca head-to-head page →

Liga Mayor table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salcedo141121+1735
2Cibao14833+1627
3Vega Real14635+621
4Moca14644+320
5Universidad O&M14635+519
6Delfines Del Este14455017
7Jarabacoa142210-165
8Atlántico141211-313

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jarabacoa vs Moca?

Our pick is Either team to win with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Jarabacoa vs Moca?

On our numbers Jarabacoa have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Moca 46%.

How many goals will there be in Jarabacoa vs Moca?

We expect about 0.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 5% likely and both teams score 27% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jarabacoa vs Moca?

Our predicted score is Jarabacoa 0–1 Moca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.8 goals in total.

When is Jarabacoa vs Moca?

Jarabacoa vs Moca (Liga Mayor) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.