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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Moca v Cibao: numbers & prediction

Liga Mayor · Dominican-Republic · Polideportivo Moca 85

Moca

WDDDW
2–1
FT

Cibao

DWWLW
Moca 33%Draw 23%Cibao 44% Expected goals 0.83 – 1.04
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultCibao to win ✗44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.25

Moca vs Cibao: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cibao travel to face Moca on Sunday 13 September in the Liga Mayor, with Polideportivo Moca 85 the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Moca are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 14 matches; Cibao are 2nd (among the top four) with 27.

Current form

Moca, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jarabacoa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Cibao, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Salcedo, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Apr 2026) it ended Moca 2–2 Cibao. The last 2 head-to-heads: Moca 0 wins, Cibao 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Moca 0.8 xG, Cibao 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Moca 33%, draw 23%, Cibao 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moca 0–1 Cibao. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Moca33%fair 3.06 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Cibao44%fair 2.27 · @2.20
1.88Expected goals
0.83Moca xG
1.04Cibao xG
39%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%

From our goals model: Moca 0.8 – 1.0 Cibao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCibao to win ✗44%2.272.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗61%1.63–
Draw no betCibao (draw no bet) ✗57%1.74–
Asian handicapMoca +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66%1.521.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreCibao to score first47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.25–

Recent results

Moca – last 6

WDDDWD
6 Sep@ Jarabacoa1–0W
30 Aug@ Universidad O&M0–0D
27 Augvs Salcedo0–0D
21 Augvs Vega Real0–0D
18 Aprvs Delfines Del Este1–0W
1 Aprvs Cibao2–2D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Cibao – last 6

DWWLWW
11 Sep@ Salcedo1–1D
5 Sepvs Vega Real2–1W
29 Aug@ Atlántico4–1W
26 Augvs Delfines Del Este0–1L
22 Aug@ Jarabacoa2–0W
18 Aug@ Mount Pleasant Academy2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Apr 2026Moca v Cibao2–2
22 Feb 2026Cibao v Moca1–0
Moca vs Cibao head-to-head page →

Liga Mayor table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salcedo141121+1735
2Cibao14833+1627
3Vega Real14635+621
4Moca14644+320
5Universidad O&M14635+519
6Delfines Del Este14455017
7Jarabacoa142210-165
8Atlántico141211-313

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Moca vs Cibao?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Moca vs Cibao?

On our numbers Moca have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cibao 44%.

How many goals will there be in Moca vs Cibao?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Moca vs Cibao?

Our predicted score is Moca 0–1 Cibao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Moca vs Cibao?

Moca vs Cibao (Liga Mayor) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Polideportivo Moca 85.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.