Value bet: Delfines Del Este to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMoca to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.39
Moca vs Delfines Del Este: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Wednesday 23 September: Moca v Delfines Del Este in the Liga Mayor, played at Polideportivo Moca 85. In the table, Moca are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 14 matches; Delfines Del Este are 6th (in the drop zone) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Moca, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atlántico, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Delfines Del Este, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vega Real, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended Moca 1–0 Delfines Del Este.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moca 0.9 xG, Delfines Del Este 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moca 39%, draw 23%, Delfines Del Este 38%.
Price worth noting: Delfines Del Este to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moca 0–0 Delfines Del Este. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moca39%fair 2.54 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
Delfines Del Este38%fair 2.64 · @3.10
1.72Expected goals
0.87Moca xG
0.85Delfines Del Este xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Moca 0.9 – 0.8 Delfines Del Este expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Moca vs Delfines Del Este?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Moca vs Delfines Del Este?
On our numbers Moca have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Delfines Del Este 38%.
How many goals will there be in Moca vs Delfines Del Este?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moca vs Delfines Del Este?
Our predicted score is Moca 0–0 Delfines Del Este, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Moca vs Delfines Del Este?
Moca vs Delfines Del Este (Liga Mayor) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Polideportivo Moca 85.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
