Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultSalcedo to win ✓59% · @1.62
Double chanceSalcedo or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.98
Salcedo vs Moca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Salcedo v Moca in the Liga Mayor. In the table, Salcedo are 1st, leading the league, on 35 points after 14 matches; Moca are 4th (among the top four) with 20. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Salcedo, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Delfines Del Este, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Moca, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vega Real, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Salcedo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Moca.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Aug 2026) it ended Moca 0–0 Salcedo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Salcedo 1 win, Moca 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Salcedo 1.5 xG, Moca 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Salcedo 59%, draw 23%, Moca 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salcedo 1–0 Moca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Salcedo59%fair 1.68 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.40
Moca17%fair 5.80 · @4.75
2.23Expected goals
1.55Salcedo xG
0.68Moca xG
42%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Salcedo 1.5 – 0.7 Moca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Salcedo vs Moca?
On our numbers Salcedo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Moca 17%.
How many goals will there be in Salcedo vs Moca?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salcedo vs Moca?
Our predicted score is Salcedo 1–0 Moca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Salcedo vs Moca?
Salcedo vs Moca (Liga Mayor) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
