Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.79
Moca vs Jarabacoa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jarabacoa travel to face Moca on Sunday 18 October in the Liga Mayor – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Moca are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 14 matches; Jarabacoa are 7th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Moca, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Universidad O&M, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Jarabacoa, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Delfines Del Este, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Moca, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Jarabacoa.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Jarabacoa 0–1 Moca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moca 1.9 xG, Jarabacoa 0.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 37%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moca 70%, draw 22%, Jarabacoa 8%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Moca to win (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moca 1–0 Jarabacoa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moca70%fair 1.44 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @4.50
Jarabacoa8%fair 12.24 · @7.50
2.39Expected goals
1.88Moca xG
0.51Jarabacoa xG
37%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
0–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Moca 1.9 – 0.5 Jarabacoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Moca to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Moca vs Jarabacoa?
On our numbers Moca have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jarabacoa 8%.
How many goals will there be in Moca vs Jarabacoa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moca vs Jarabacoa?
Our predicted score is Moca 1–0 Jarabacoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Moca vs Jarabacoa?
Moca vs Jarabacoa (Liga Mayor) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
