Value bet: Thai Nguyen to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBinh Duong to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the V.League 2 brings Binh Duong against Thai Nguyen. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Binh Duong, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ho Chi Minh, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Thai Nguyen, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Bóng đá Huế, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Binh Duong 1.5 xG, Thai Nguyen 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Binh Duong 41%, draw 21%, Thai Nguyen 38%.
Price worth noting: Thai Nguyen to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Binh Duong 2–1 Thai Nguyen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Binh Duong41%fair 2.44 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
Thai Nguyen38%fair 2.65 · @2.88
2.89Expected goals
1.48Binh Duong xG
1.41Thai Nguyen xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Binh Duong 1.5 – 1.4 Thai Nguyen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Binh Duong to win✗
41%
2.44
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Binh Duong (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Thai Nguyen +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Binh Duong to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Binh Duong / FT Binh Duong✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Binh Duong – last 6
WWWDWW
18 Oct
@ Ho Chi Minh
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Lam Dong
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Thanh Hóa
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Văn Hiến
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Ho Chi Minh
2–1
W
19 Aug
@ Long An
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Thai Nguyen – last 3
WWW
18 Oct
vs Bóng đá Huế
4–1
W
27 Sep
@ Dong Thap
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Binh Dinh
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Binh Duong and Thai Nguyen.
What is the prediction for Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen?
On our numbers Binh Duong have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Thai Nguyen 38%.
How many goals will there be in Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen?
Our predicted score is Binh Duong 2–1 Thai Nguyen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen?
Binh Duong vs Thai Nguyen (V.League 2) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanna Khanh Hoa1
Than Quang Ninh1