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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fenix v Miramar: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Uruguay · Parque Capurro

Fenix

LWLDD
1–1
FT

Miramar

DLDLL
Fenix 59%Draw 23%Miramar 18% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.76
59%
Betarazi pick

Fenix to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultFenix to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceFenix or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.73

Fenix vs Miramar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Miramar travel to face Fenix on Sunday 30 August in the Segunda División, with Parque Capurro the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Miramar are 12th (in the drop zone) with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Fenix, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Liverpool Montevideo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Miramar, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rentistas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Fenix, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Miramar.

Head to head

When they last met (25 May 2026) it ended Miramar 1–1 Fenix.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.6 xG, Miramar 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 59%, draw 23%, Miramar 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Fenix or draw (82%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fenix to win (59%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–0 Miramar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fenix59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
Miramar18%fair 5.65 · @3.80
2.41Expected goals
1.65Fenix xG
0.76Miramar xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Fenix 1.6 – 0.8 Miramar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFenix to win ✗59%1.691.83 ▲
Double chanceFenix or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.80–
Draw no betFenix (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapMiramar +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreFenix to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fenix / FT Fenix ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.73–

Recent results

Fenix – last 6

LWLDDW
27 Augvs Liverpool Montevideo0–2L
23 Aug@ Tacuarembo2–0W
16 Augvs Plaza Colonia1–4L
8 Augvs La Luz0–0D
2 Aug@ Cerrito1–1D
26 Julvs Atenas1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Miramar – last 6

DLDLLL
21 Augvs Rentistas1–1D
15 Aug@ CA River Plate0–3L
9 Augvs Tacuarembo1–1D
2 Aug@ Plaza Colonia0–3L
26 Julvs La Luz0–1L
26 Jul@ Cashmere Technical1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 May 2026Miramar v Fenix1–1
Fenix vs Miramar head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fenix vs Miramar?

Our pick is Fenix to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Fenix vs Miramar?

On our numbers Fenix have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Miramar 18%.

How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Miramar?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Miramar?

Our predicted score is Fenix 1–0 Miramar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Fenix vs Miramar?

Fenix vs Miramar (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.