Bandeirante SP 40%Draw 21%União São João 38%Expected goals 1.10 – 1.06
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: União São João to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBandeirante SP to win ✓40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.87
Bandeirante SP vs União São João: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
União São João travel to face Bandeirante SP on Saturday 5 September in the Copa Paulista, with Estadio Municipal Pedro Marin Berbel the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Bandeirante SP, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to União São João, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
União São João, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Bandeirante SP, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours União São João, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Bandeirante SP.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended União São João 3–0 Bandeirante SP.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bandeirante SP 1.1 xG, União São João 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bandeirante SP 40%, draw 21%, União São João 38%.
Price worth noting: União São João to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bandeirante SP 1–1 União São João. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bandeirante SP40%fair 2.47 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
União São João38%fair 2.63 · @3.00
2.16Expected goals
1.10Bandeirante SP xG
1.06União São João xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bandeirante SP 1.1 – 1.1 União São João expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bandeirante SP vs União São João?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Bandeirante SP vs União São João?
On our numbers Bandeirante SP have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and União São João 38%.
How many goals will there be in Bandeirante SP vs União São João?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bandeirante SP vs União São João?
Our predicted score is Bandeirante SP 1–1 União São João, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bandeirante SP vs União São João?
Bandeirante SP vs União São João (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Marin Berbel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.