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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bandeirante SP v União São João: numbers & prediction

Copa Paulista · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Pedro Marin Berbel
3–1
FT
Bandeirante SP 40%Draw 21%União São João 38% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.06
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2

Value bet: União São João to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBandeirante SP to win ✓40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.87

Bandeirante SP vs União São João: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

União São João travel to face Bandeirante SP on Saturday 5 September in the Copa Paulista, with Estadio Municipal Pedro Marin Berbel the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.

Current form

Bandeirante SP, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to União São João, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

União São João, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Bandeirante SP, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours União São João, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Bandeirante SP.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended União São João 3–0 Bandeirante SP.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bandeirante SP 1.1 xG, União São João 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bandeirante SP 40%, draw 21%, União São João 38%.
  • Price worth noting: União São João to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bandeirante SP 1–1 União São João. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bandeirante SP40%fair 2.47 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
União São João38%fair 2.63 · @3.00
2.16Expected goals
1.10Bandeirante SP xG
1.06União São João xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Bandeirante SP 1.1 – 1.1 União São João expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBandeirante SP to win ✓40%2.472.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.83–
Draw no betBandeirante SP (draw no bet) ✓51%1.94–
Asian handicapUnião São João +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.661.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreBandeirante SP to score first45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bandeirante SP / FT Bandeirante SP ✓20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.87–

Recent results

Bandeirante SP – last 6

LLWDWL
29 Aug@ União São João0–3L
22 Aug@ Linense0–2L
15 Augvs Grêmio Prudente1–0W
11 Aug@ Marília1–1D
1 Augvs Marília3–1W
27 Jul@ Grêmio Prudente0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

União São João – last 6

WDDDWD
29 Augvs Bandeirante SP3–0W
22 Aug@ XV de Piracicaba1–1D
19 Augvs Noroeste1–1D
8 Augvs Comercial1–1D
1 Aug@ Comercial1–0W
25 Jul@ Noroeste2–2D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026União São João v Bandeirante SP3–0
Bandeirante SP vs União São João head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bandeirante SP vs União São João?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Bandeirante SP vs União São João?

On our numbers Bandeirante SP have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and União São João 38%.

How many goals will there be in Bandeirante SP vs União São João?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bandeirante SP vs União São João?

Our predicted score is Bandeirante SP 1–1 União São João, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Bandeirante SP vs União São João?

Bandeirante SP vs União São João (Copa Paulista) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Marin Berbel.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.