Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✗63% · @1.45
Double chanceDeportivo La Guaira or draw ✗82% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Monday 31 August: Deportivo La Guaira v Estudiantes de Merida FC in the Primera División, played at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. In the table, Deportivo La Guaira are 2nd, among the top four, on 6 points after 5 matches; Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th (in the drop zone) with 17.
Current form
Deportivo La Guaira, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Rayo Zuliano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Puerto Cabello, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Estudiantes de Merida FC 0–1 Deportivo La Guaira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Guaira 1.7 xG, Estudiantes de Merida FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Guaira 63%, draw 20%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 18%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo La Guaira63%fair 1.59 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.75
Estudiantes de Merida FC18%fair 5.69 · @6.75
2.41Expected goals
1.69Deportivo La Guaira xG
0.72Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.7 – 0.7 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Deportivo La Guaira vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
